Paradigm Research Finds Polymarket Volumes Double-Counted, Puts Oct–Nov 2024 Near $1.25B Each

Research released on December 8, 2025, identified a data aggregation error that causes most third-party dashboards to double-count Polymarket trades and overstate reported volume by about 100%, according to Paradigm. Adjusted calculations place October and November 2024 volumes at roughly $1.25 billion each, while major data providers move to update their metrics.